Post by dorsetdave on Oct 18, 2021 12:08:29 GMT
It's often said that you can judge a teams destiny for the end of the season after 10 games in a league. Of course there are exceptions and a few teams can go on a really good run after a poor start, and vica-versa. The Magpies have now played 10 games and have 5 points. This would suggest, in theory, that we will finish up with around 20 - 23 ponts at the end of the season's 42 games.
So how many points do you need to avoid relegation. Well here is how the relegated teams fared in the last 3 full seasons that were completed in the Southern League Premier
2018-19
Basingstoke P42 49 pts
Frome P42 47 pts
Staines P42 12 pts
2017-18
St Ives Tn P46 33 pts
Gosport P46 19 pts
Dunstable P46 17 pts
2016-17
Cirencester P46 42 pts
Hayes & Yeading P46 41pts
Cinderford P46 27 pts
NB The Southern League was revamped during some of these seasons
Of course I dont have a record of the league position where the above teams were after 10 games. Can anybody work that out at all ? That would be the crucial question to prove out the theory. It would appear that you at least need a point per game average to avoid relegation
So how many points do you need to avoid relegation. Well here is how the relegated teams fared in the last 3 full seasons that were completed in the Southern League Premier
2018-19
Basingstoke P42 49 pts
Frome P42 47 pts
Staines P42 12 pts
2017-18
St Ives Tn P46 33 pts
Gosport P46 19 pts
Dunstable P46 17 pts
2016-17
Cirencester P46 42 pts
Hayes & Yeading P46 41pts
Cinderford P46 27 pts
NB The Southern League was revamped during some of these seasons
Of course I dont have a record of the league position where the above teams were after 10 games. Can anybody work that out at all ? That would be the crucial question to prove out the theory. It would appear that you at least need a point per game average to avoid relegation
